Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Metz had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angers would win this match.