Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
Result | ||
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Metz |
33.91% | 28.23% | 37.86% |
Both teams to score 46.97% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.8% | 59.2% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.37% | 79.63% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.29% | 32.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.74% | 69.26% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.81% | 30.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.65% | 66.35% |
Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 6.17% 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-0 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.91% | 1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 9.88% 2-2 @ 4.42% Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.22% | 0-1 @ 11.82% 1-2 @ 7.91% 0-2 @ 7.08% 1-3 @ 3.16% 0-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 1.77% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.34% Total : 37.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 75 | 31 | 44 | 75 |
2 | Lens | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 54 | 25 | 29 | 66 |
3 | Marseille | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 57 | 30 | 27 | 64 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 66 | 46 | 20 | 61 |
5 | Lille | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 56 |
6 | Rennes | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 53 |
7 | Lyon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 50 |
8 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 14 | 6 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 47 |
9 | Nice | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 45 |
10 | Lorient | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 45 |
11 | Clermont | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 43 |
12 | Toulouse | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 37 |
14 | Auxerre | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 33 |
15 | NantesNantes | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
16 | Brest | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
17 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 29 |
18 | Troyes | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 21 |
19 | Ajaccio | 31 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 22 | 58 | -36 | 21 |
R | Angers | 32 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 25 | 68 | -43 | 14 |
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