Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.