Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.