New Zealand are ranked 25 places below China, but the hosts were arguably the better side before being reduced to 10 men - even if Bazeley's insistence that they were "awesome" is something of a stretch.
With the full compliment on the pitch for 90 minutes, New Zealand have an even better chance of avoiding defeat once again - although, that debilitating goal drought threatens to drag on if Wood continues to be sidelined.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 64.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for China had a probability of 15.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a China win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New Zealand would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.01) 
