Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 53.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 21.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Australia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Australia.