MX23RW : Sunday, November 20 07:15:43| >> :120:18495:18495:
Mar 24, 2022 at 9.10am UK
Australia
0 - 2
Japan

Metcalfe (15'), Stensness (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mitoma (89', 90+4')
Nagatomo (10')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Australia and Japan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: UAE 1-2 Australia
Tuesday, June 7 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Australia vs. New Zealand
Sunday, September 25 at 4am in International Friendlies
Last Six:
Last Game: Japan 0-1 Brazil
Monday, June 6 at 11.20am in International Friendlies
Next Game: Germany vs. Japan
Wednesday, November 23 at 1pm in World Cup
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Uruguay357
2Chile346
3Japan3-42
4Ecuador3-51

We said: Australia 0-2 Japan

Australia might boast the home advantage here, but Japan are the in-form team, and a victory would guarantee them automatic progression to the World Cup 2022. The fact they have been so strong defensively as of late, not conceding in four games is something that could prove to be a difference maker on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Australia had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Australia win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Japan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Japan.

Result
AustraliaDrawJapan
30.36%25.2%44.43%
Both teams to score 55.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.82%48.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.66%70.33%
Australia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.47%29.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.45%65.55%
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.32%21.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.17%54.82%
Score Analysis
    Australia 30.36%
    Japan 44.43%
    Draw 25.2%
AustraliaDrawJapan
1-0 @ 7.81%
2-1 @ 7.28%
2-0 @ 4.76%
3-1 @ 2.96%
3-2 @ 2.26%
3-0 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 30.36%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 6.4%
2-2 @ 5.57%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 9.79%
1-2 @ 9.13%
0-2 @ 7.48%
1-3 @ 4.65%
0-3 @ 3.81%
2-3 @ 2.84%
1-4 @ 1.78%
0-4 @ 1.46%
2-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 44.43%

How you voted: Australia vs Japan

Australia
28.2%
Draw
16.8%
Japan
55.0%
149
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2021 11.14am
Japan
2-1
Australia
Tanaka (8'), Behich (85' og.)
Morita (68')
Hrustic (70')
Behich (63'), Souttar (90+3')
rhs 2.0
World Cup fixtures header 3
Sunday, November 20
 
7pm
Sunday, November 20
 
4pm
Monday, November 21
 
1pm
 
7pm
Tuesday, November 22
 
1pm
 
4pm
Wednesday, November 23
 
10am
 
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Thursday, November 24
 
4pm
 
7pm
Friday, November 25
 
10am
 
1pm
 
7pm
Saturday, November 26
 
4pm
Sunday, November 27
 
10am
 
1pm
 
4pm
 
7pm
Monday, November 28
 
10am
Tuesday, November 29
 
3pm
 
7pm
Wednesday, November 30
 
3pm
Thursday, December 1
 
3pm
 
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Friday, December 2
 
3pm
 
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Todays Game Header Right
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal14121133112237
2Manchester CityMan City14102240142632
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1586129111830
4Tottenham HotspurSpurs1592431211029
5Manchester UnitedMan Utd148242020026
6Liverpool1464428171122
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton146352319421
8Chelsea146351717021
9Fulham155462426-219
10Brentford154742325-219
11Crystal Palace145451518-319
12Aston Villa155371622-618
13Leicester CityLeicester155282525017
14Bournemouth154471832-1416
15Leeds UnitedLeeds144372226-415
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham154291217-514
17Everton153571117-614
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest153481130-1913
19Southampton153391327-1412
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves15249824-1610

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