Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oman win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Belarus had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oman win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Belarus win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oman would win this match.