Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Malta had a probability of 20.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.92%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Malta win it was 1-0 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Republic of Ireland in this match.