MX23RW : Tuesday, May 9 05:59:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Mar 26, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional
3 - 0
River Plate
Montiel (38'), Zabala (53'), Candido (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brunelli (9'), Pereira (25'), Viera (43')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and River Plate.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maldonado 0-0 Nacional
Saturday, March 18 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 1-0 River Plate
Saturday, March 18 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 53.14%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 20.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawRiver Plate
53.14% (0.40600000000001 0.41) 25.98% (-0.15 -0.15) 20.89% (-0.251 -0.25)
Both teams to score 44.45% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.97% (0.274 0.27)58.04% (-0.27 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.29% (0.216 0.22)78.72% (-0.212 -0.21)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.05% (0.288 0.29)21.95% (-0.283 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.77% (0.434 0.43)55.23% (-0.43 -0.43)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.96% (-0.111 -0.11)43.04% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.67% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)79.33% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 53.13%
    River Plate 20.89%
    Draw 25.97%
NacionalDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 14.32% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.86% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.49% (0.084 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.08% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 53.13%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 9.45% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 3.86% (0.0029999999999997 0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-2 @ 5.09% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.36% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 20.89%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 8pm
River Plate
1-1
Nacional
Borbas (67')
Laborda (54')
Coelho (17')
Jun 18, 2022 10pm
Nacional
3-0
River Plate
Gigliotti (26'), Zabala (57'), Lozano (80')
Candido (66'), Rodriguez (71'), Coelho (84')
Candido (68')

Napoli (8'), Brunelli (30'), Pereira (63'), Ichazo (64')
Apr 17, 2022 10pm
Nacional
1-1
River Plate
Ocampo (90')
Candido (75'), Rochet (81'), Fagundez (82'), Rodriguez (86'), Otormin (90+4')
Candido (81')

Alfonso (9'), Montiel (42'), Salaberry (45+2'), Pereira (49'), Diaz (51')
Salaberry (67')
Dec 4, 2021 8pm
Nacional
4-2
River Plate
Almeida (26'), Brunelli (53' og., 61' og.), Fernandez (62')
Fernandez (23')
Borbas (1'), Montiel (90')
Bonifazi (45'), Boggio (59')
Aug 21, 2021 7pm
River Plate
2-0
Nacional
Arezo (45+1'), Boggio (51')
Diaz (17'), Montiel (34'), Napoli (73')

Mendez (24'), Rodriguez (34'), Trasante (40'), Bergessio (41'), Martinez (46')
Bergessio (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol14103124101433
2NacionalNacional1475224111326
3Defensor SportingDefensor1466226131324
4Cerro Largo146621310324
5LiverpoolLiverpool146532417723
6Montevideo WanderersWanderers146441511422
7Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado145451823-519
8River PlateRiver Plate144551519-417
9Montevideo City TorqueTorque143561520-516
10Racing de MontevideoRacing143651316-315
11La Luz144462127-615
12Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia144371424-1015
13DanubioDanubio143561918114
14CerroCerro142751216-413
15FenixFenix143381121-1012
16Boston RiverBoston River142571422-811

Ted Lasso creative

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!