Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 22.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Dallas |
51.59% | 25.52% | 22.89% |
Both teams to score 48.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.48% | 54.52% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.13% | 75.87% |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.84% | 21.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.98% | 54.02% |
Dallas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61% | 39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.27% | 75.73% |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Dallas |
1-0 @ 12.81% 2-0 @ 9.95% 2-1 @ 9.37% 3-0 @ 5.15% 3-1 @ 4.85% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-0 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.88% Other @ 3.28% Total : 51.58% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 8.25% 2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 7.77% 1-2 @ 5.68% 0-2 @ 3.66% 1-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.39% 0-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.46% Total : 22.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 24 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 23 |
3 | Orlando City | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 21 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 20 |
5 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 20 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 |
7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 16 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 16 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 15 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 15 |
11 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 13 |
13 | Toronto | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 11 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 24 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 23 |
3 | Orlando City | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 21 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 20 |
5 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 20 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 |
7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 16 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 16 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 15 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 15 |
11 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 13 |
13 | Toronto | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 11 |