Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 51.31%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 25.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.