Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for York City had a probability of 37.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest York City win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
37.04% ( 3.15) | 25.78% ( 0.56) | 37.17% ( -3.7) |
Both teams to score 55% ( -1.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.8% ( -2.14) | 49.2% ( 2.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.73% ( -1.96) | 71.26% ( 1.96) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.12% ( 0.82) | 25.87% ( -0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.14% ( 1.1) | 60.86% ( -1.1) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.2% ( -2.91) | 25.8% ( 2.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.24% ( -4.12) | 60.76% ( 4.12) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.96) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.77) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.27) 3-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.4) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.05% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.57) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.49) 0-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.52) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.57) 0-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.5) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.32) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.32) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.27) Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 35 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 90 | 34 | 56 | 85 |
2 | Notts County | 36 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 90 | 33 | 57 | 84 |
3 | Woking | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
4 | Barnet | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 65 | 57 | 8 | 59 |
5 | Chesterfield | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57 | 42 | 15 | 58 |
6 | Eastleigh | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 57 |
7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 55 |
8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 53 |
9 | Bromley | 35 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 52 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 51 |
11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 49 |
12 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 46 |
13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 45 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 48 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 41 |
16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 41 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 39 |
18 | York City | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 36 |
19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 34 |
20 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 33 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 33 |
21 | Gateshead | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 33 |
22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 30 |
23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 27 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 38 | 77 | -39 | 24 |
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