Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 51.88%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Barnet win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnet | Draw | Southend United |
24.77% ( -2.21) | 23.34% ( -0.65) | 51.88% ( 2.85) |
Both teams to score 56.95% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.17% ( 1.02) | 43.82% ( -1.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.78% ( 0.99) | 66.21% ( -0.99) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.55% ( -1.2) | 31.44% ( 1.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.17% ( -1.41) | 67.82% ( 1.41) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.07% ( 1.47) | 16.92% ( -1.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.01% ( 2.54) | 46.99% ( -2.55) |
Score Analysis |
Barnet | Draw | Southend United |
2-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.41) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.5) 2-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.42) 3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.75% Total : 24.77% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.33% | 1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.42) 1-3 @ 5.75% ( 0.37) 0-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.47) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 2.56% ( 0.28) 0-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.3) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.12) 1-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.14) Other @ 3.12% Total : 51.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 32 | 56 | 84 |
2 | Notts County | 35 | 25 | 8 | 2 | 89 | 32 | 57 | 83 |
3 | Woking | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 62 |
4 | Barnet | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 65 | 57 | 8 | 59 |
5 | Chesterfield | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 55 | 41 | 14 | 55 |
6 | Eastleigh | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 54 |
7 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 53 |
8 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 33 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 40 | 30 | 10 | 52 |
9 | Bromley | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 51 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 48 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 46 |
12 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 46 |
13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 50 | -2 | 42 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 42 |
15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 41 |
16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 40 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 35 | 11 | 5 | 19 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 38 |
18 | York City | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 36 |
19 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 33 |
20 | Gateshead | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 33 |
21 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 33 |
22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 38 | 60 | -22 | 29 |
23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 39 | 66 | -27 | 27 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 24 |
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