Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Gateshead had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Gateshead win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Chesterfield in this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Gateshead |
59.45% ( 1.18) | 21.29% ( 0.11) | 19.26% ( -1.29) |
Both teams to score 56.11% ( -2.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.71% ( -2.43) | 41.29% ( 2.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.32% ( -2.52) | 63.68% ( 2.51) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.46% ( -0.44) | 13.54% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.39% ( -0.87) | 40.61% ( 0.87) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.89% ( -2.7) | 35.11% ( 2.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.14% ( -2.93) | 71.86% ( 2.93) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Gateshead |
2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.87) 2-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.73) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.3) 4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.18) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.26% Total : 59.45% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.36) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.51) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.29% | 1-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.93% Total : 19.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Chesterfield | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 66 | 33 | 33 | 65 |
2 | Bromley | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 56 |
3 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 55 |
4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 46 |
5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 43 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 42 |
7 | Rochdale | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 41 |
8 | Gateshead | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 40 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 |
10 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Eastleigh | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 37 |
12 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 33 |
13 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 |
14 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 43 | 28 | 15 | 31 |
16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 31 |
17 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 |
18 | York City | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 |
19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 28 |
20 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 27 |
21 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 27 |
22 | Fylde | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 25 |
23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 24 |
24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 20 |
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