Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 53.83%. A win for Bromley had a probability of 23.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Bromley win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Bromley |
53.83% ( -0.01) | 22.61% ( 0) | 23.55% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 58.03% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.25% ( -0.01) | 41.75% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.85% ( -0.01) | 64.15% ( 0.01) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.51% ( -0) | 15.49% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.62% ( -0.01) | 44.38% ( 0.01) |
Bromley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.66% ( -0) | 31.34% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.3% ( -0.01) | 67.7% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Bromley |
2-1 @ 9.8% 1-0 @ 9.05% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.44% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.25% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.45% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.06% 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 53.83% | 1-1 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 5.68% 0-0 @ 4.85% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.61% | 1-2 @ 6.1% 0-1 @ 5.63% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.27% 1-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.74% Total : 23.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Wrexham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 116 | 43 | 73 | 111 |
2 | Notts County | 46 | 32 | 11 | 3 | 117 | 42 | 75 | 107 |
3 | Chesterfield | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 81 | 52 | 29 | 84 |
4 | Woking | 46 | 24 | 10 | 12 | 71 | 48 | 23 | 82 |
5 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 75 | 67 | 8 | 74 |
6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 72 |
7 | Bromley | 46 | 18 | 17 | 11 | 68 | 53 | 15 | 71 |
8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 57 | 45 | 12 | 69 |
9 | Eastleigh | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 67 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 61 |
12 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 61 |
13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 60 |
14 | Gateshead | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 67 | 62 | 5 | 59 |
15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 58 |
16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 67 | 91 | -24 | 57 |
17 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 68 | 82 | -14 | 56 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 76 | -12 | 53 |
19 | York City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 51 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 50 |
R | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 58 | 80 | -22 | 48 |
R | Yeovil TownYeovil | 46 | 7 | 19 | 20 | 35 | 60 | -25 | 40 |
R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 49 | 87 | -38 | 34 |
R | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 46 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 45 | 104 | -59 | 25 |
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