Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 21.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 1-0 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | Chesterfield |
21.78% ( -0.01) | 23.75% ( 0.01) | 54.47% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.96% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.3% ( -0.05) | 48.69% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.19% ( -0.04) | 70.8% ( 0.05) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.19% ( -0.04) | 36.8% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.4% ( -0.04) | 73.59% ( 0.04) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.23% ( -0.01) | 17.77% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.53% ( -0.02) | 48.46% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.64% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.27% 3-1 @ 1.88% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 1.74% Total : 21.78% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.75% | 0-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.76% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.62% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.62% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.43% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 3.54% Total : 54.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 43 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 109 | 41 | 68 | 104 |
2 | Notts County | 44 | 31 | 10 | 3 | 111 | 39 | 72 | 103 |
3 | Chesterfield | 43 | 23 | 9 | 11 | 72 | 49 | 23 | 78 |
4 | Woking | 43 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 76 |
5 | Barnet | 43 | 20 | 10 | 13 | 73 | 64 | 9 | 70 |
6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 43 | 18 | 15 | 10 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 69 |
7 | Bromley | 43 | 17 | 15 | 11 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 66 |
8 | Eastleigh | 44 | 19 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 65 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 43 | 18 | 9 | 16 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 63 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 43 | 17 | 7 | 19 | 57 | 70 | -13 | 58 |
11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 42 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 57 |
12 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 42 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 51 | 67 | -16 | 56 |
13 | Halifax TownHalifax | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 55 |
14 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 43 | 14 | 12 | 17 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 54 |
15 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 43 | 14 | 11 | 18 | 63 | 77 | -14 | 53 |
16 | Gateshead | 42 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 52 |
17 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 43 | 15 | 7 | 21 | 63 | 88 | -25 | 52 |
18 | York City | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 49 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 49 |
20 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 43 | 13 | 9 | 21 | 60 | 73 | -13 | 48 |
21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 43 | 12 | 10 | 21 | 54 | 72 | -18 | 46 |
22 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 43 | 7 | 19 | 17 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 40 |
R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 44 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 47 | 82 | -35 | 34 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 44 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 43 | 95 | -52 | 25 |
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