Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for York City had a probability of 17.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.93%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a York City win it was 1-0 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Chesterfield |
17.76% ( -0.01) | 22.25% ( -0.05) | 60% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.17% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.19% ( 0.19) | 47.81% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.01% ( 0.17) | 69.99% ( -0.18) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.39% ( 0.1) | 40.61% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.8% ( 0.09) | 77.2% ( -0.09) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.48% ( 0.08) | 15.52% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.56% ( 0.15) | 44.44% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 4.77% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 17.76% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 22.25% | 0-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 10.93% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.12% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.85% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 59.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Notts County | 42 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 106 | 36 | 70 | 100 |
2 | Wrexham | 41 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 106 | 39 | 67 | 100 |
3 | Woking | 41 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 75 |
4 | Chesterfield | 41 | 21 | 9 | 11 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 72 |
5 | Barnet | 41 | 20 | 8 | 13 | 73 | 64 | 9 | 68 |
6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 41 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 65 |
7 | Eastleigh | 41 | 19 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 64 |
8 | Bromley | 41 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 60 | 50 | 10 | 62 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 41 | 17 | 8 | 16 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 59 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 41 | 17 | 7 | 17 | 57 | 67 | -10 | 58 |
11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 41 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 56 |
12 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 41 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 56 |
13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 41 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 53 |
14 | York City | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 49 |
15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 40 | 13 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 49 |
16 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 49 |
17 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 41 | 12 | 12 | 17 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
18 | Gateshead | 39 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 41 | 13 | 7 | 21 | 59 | 86 | -27 | 46 |
20 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 41 | 12 | 8 | 21 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 44 |
21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 41 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 69 | -21 | 40 |
22 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 41 | 7 | 18 | 16 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 39 |
23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 42 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 46 | 78 | -32 | 34 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 42 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 43 | 92 | -49 | 24 |
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