Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 85.04%. A draw had a probability of 10.5% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 4.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.92%) and 4-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.01%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 0-1 (1.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.