Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 87.71%. A draw had a probability of 8.4% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 3.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 4-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.9%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 1-2 (1.27%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
