Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.
