Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 74.93%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 8.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.11%) and 0-3 (10.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.65%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 1-0 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
