Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 65.95%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 15.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 1-2 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.