Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
