Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 77.61%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 8.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.31%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-2 (2.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.