Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for York City had a probability of 19.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.86%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a York City win it was 1-0 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Wrexham |
19.06% ( -0.25) | 23.44% ( -0) | 57.5% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 48.86% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.25% ( -0.33) | 50.75% ( 0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.35% ( -0.29) | 72.65% ( 0.3) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.17% ( -0.47) | 40.83% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.59% ( -0.43) | 77.4% ( 0.43) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.58% ( -0.03) | 17.42% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.15% ( -0.05) | 47.85% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Wrexham |
1-0 @ 6.37% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.06% Total : 19.06% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.44% | 0-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 10.86% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 9.73% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 6.33% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.77% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 57.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 39 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 100 | 35 | 65 | 97 |
2 | Notts County | 40 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 101 | 36 | 65 | 94 |
3 | Woking | 39 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 71 |
4 | Chesterfield | 39 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 71 |
5 | Barnet | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 66 |
6 | Eastleigh | 40 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 64 |
7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 62 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 59 | 54 | 5 | 55 |
9 | Bromley | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 55 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 55 |
11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 55 |
12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 53 |
13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 59 | 69 | -10 | 52 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 47 |
15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 46 |
16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 43 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 39 | 12 | 7 | 20 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 43 |
18 | York City | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 |
19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 55 | 84 | -29 | 40 |
20 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 38 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 38 |
21 | Gateshead | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 37 |
22 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 39 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 46 | 75 | -29 | 33 |
23 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 31 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 39 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 41 | 83 | -42 | 24 |
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