Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 80.78%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 7.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.51%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-2 (2.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Aldershot Town |
80.78% ( 0.31) | 12.1% ( -0.22) | 7.11% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 52.37% ( 0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.57% ( 0.81) | 27.43% ( -0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.97% ( 1.01) | 48.03% ( -1.02) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.83% ( 0.21) | 5.16% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.53% ( 0.62) | 20.47% ( -0.62) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.22% ( 0.41) | 44.78% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.24% ( 0.33) | 80.75% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Aldershot Town |
2-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.1) 5-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.07) 6-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.07) 6-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.08) 5-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.06) 7-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.28% Total : 80.78% | 1-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 3.28% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.01% Total : 12.1% | 1-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.04% Total : 7.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Notts County | 33 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 84 | 30 | 54 | 80 |
2 | Wrexham | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 75 |
3 | Woking | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 58 |
4 | Chesterfield | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 54 |
5 | Barnet | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 53 |
6 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 50 |
7 | Bromley | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 47 |
8 | Eastleigh | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 47 |
9 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 45 |
10 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 44 |
11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 42 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 41 |
13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 39 |
14 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 33 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 38 |
15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 35 |
17 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 33 |
18 | York City | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 32 |
19 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 6 | 14 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 32 |
20 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 30 |
21 | Gateshead | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 29 |
22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 29 |
23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 26 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 22 |
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