Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Wrexham |
33.41% | 25.93% | 40.65% |
Both teams to score 54.01% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.74% | 50.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.79% | 72.2% |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.45% | 28.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.67% | 64.33% |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.58% | 24.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.16% | 58.83% |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Wrexham |
1-0 @ 8.74% 2-1 @ 7.72% 2-0 @ 5.48% 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.41% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 6.97% 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 9.83% 1-2 @ 8.69% 0-2 @ 6.93% 1-3 @ 4.08% 0-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 2.56% 1-4 @ 1.44% 0-4 @ 1.15% 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.83% Total : 40.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Notts County | 33 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 84 | 30 | 54 | 80 |
2 | Wrexham | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 75 |
3 | Woking | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 58 |
4 | Chesterfield | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 54 |
5 | Barnet | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 53 |
6 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 50 |
7 | Bromley | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 47 |
8 | Eastleigh | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 47 |
9 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 45 |
10 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 44 |
11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 42 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 41 |
13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 39 |
14 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 33 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 38 |
15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 35 |
17 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 33 |
18 | York City | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 32 |
19 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 6 | 14 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 32 |
20 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 30 |
21 | Gateshead | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 29 |
22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 29 |
23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 26 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 22 |
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