Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Solihull Moors would win this match.
