Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 67.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 13.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for an Altrincham win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Altrincham |
67.81% ( 0.32) | 18.65% ( -0.27) | 13.54% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 52.2% ( 0.83) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.92% ( 1.15) | 40.07% ( -1.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.56% ( 1.18) | 62.44% ( -1.19) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.15% ( 0.4) | 10.85% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.05% ( 0.9) | 34.95% ( -0.9) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.55% ( 0.66) | 41.44% ( -0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.05% ( 0.58) | 77.95% ( -0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Altrincham |
2-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.11) 5-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.09) Other @ 4.18% Total : 67.81% | 1-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.65% | 0-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 3.87% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.56% Total : 13.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 39 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 100 | 35 | 65 | 97 |
2 | Notts County | 40 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 101 | 36 | 65 | 94 |
3 | Woking | 39 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 71 |
4 | Chesterfield | 39 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 71 |
5 | Barnet | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 66 |
6 | Eastleigh | 40 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 64 |
7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 62 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 59 | 54 | 5 | 55 |
9 | Bromley | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 55 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 55 |
11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 55 |
12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 53 |
13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 59 | 69 | -10 | 52 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 47 |
15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 46 |
16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 43 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 39 | 12 | 7 | 20 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 43 |
18 | York City | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 |
19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 55 | 84 | -29 | 40 |
20 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 38 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 38 |
21 | Gateshead | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 37 |
22 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 39 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 46 | 75 | -29 | 33 |
23 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 31 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 39 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 41 | 83 | -42 | 24 |
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