Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 55.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 21.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-0 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Southend United |
21.25% ( 0.12) | 22.92% ( -0.05) | 55.82% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 53.87% ( 0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.19% ( 0.38) | 45.81% ( -0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.88% ( 0.36) | 68.12% ( -0.36) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.31% ( 0.33) | 35.69% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.54% ( 0.34) | 72.46% ( -0.34) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.76% ( 0.11) | 16.24% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.24% ( 0.2) | 45.76% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Southend United |
1-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.08% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 21.25% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.92% | 0-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 5.98% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5.8% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.64% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 55.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 97 | 35 | 62 | 94 |
2 | Notts County | 39 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 97 | 36 | 61 | 91 |
3 | Woking | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 68 |
4 | Chesterfield | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 65 | 44 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Barnet | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 69 | 61 | 8 | 63 |
6 | Eastleigh | 39 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 63 |
7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 37 | 16 | 13 | 8 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 61 |
8 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49 | 59 | -10 | 55 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 54 |
10 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 37 | 15 | 8 | 14 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Bromley | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 52 |
12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 52 |
13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 49 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 39 | 13 | 8 | 18 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 47 |
15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 45 |
16 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 43 |
17 | Halifax TownHalifax | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 |
18 | York City | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 42 |
19 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 37 | 7 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 38 |
20 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 37 | 10 | 7 | 20 | 52 | 83 | -31 | 37 |
21 | Gateshead | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 34 |
22 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 33 |
23 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 43 | 67 | -24 | 31 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 40 | 81 | -41 | 24 |
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