Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 54.52%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 23.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
