Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 65.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 14.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 2-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.