MX23RW : Saturday, September 17 07:16:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
Sep 30, 2020 at 7.45pm UK at Deeside Stadium
Connah's Quay
2 - 0
Aberystwyth
Disney (9' pen.), Edwards (27')
Holmes (10')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Aberystwyth Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 59.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 18.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawAberystwyth Town
59.28%22.39%18.33%
Both teams to score 50.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.47%47.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.26%69.74%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.34%15.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.3%44.71%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.23%39.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.56%76.45%
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 59.28%
    Aberystwyth Town 18.33%
    Draw 22.38%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawAberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 11.55%
2-0 @ 10.7%
2-1 @ 9.87%
3-0 @ 6.62%
3-1 @ 6.1%
4-0 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 2.83%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-2 @ 1.3%
5-0 @ 1.14%
5-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 59.28%
1-1 @ 10.64%
0-0 @ 6.23%
2-2 @ 4.55%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 22.38%
0-1 @ 5.74%
1-2 @ 4.91%
0-2 @ 2.65%
1-3 @ 1.51%
2-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 18.33%

Head to Head
Oct 25, 2019 7.45pm
Aberystwyth
1-1
Connah's Quay
Jones (90' pen.)
Insall (38')
Holmes (48'), Disney (63'), Insall (75'), Roberts (83'), Owen (89'), Brass (90')
Sep 13, 2019 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
4-1
Aberystwyth
Morris (12'), Wignall (25'), Bakare (46'), Poole (85')
Bakare (41'), Poole (72'), Brass (78')
Horan (59')
Phillips (86')
Jan 4, 2019 7.45pm
Aberystwyth
1-6
Connah's Quay
Ahmadi (38')
Jenkins (69')
Morris (14' pen.), Owens (32'), Wilde (65'), Bakare (79'), Parker (90'), Hughes (90')
Aug 24, 2018 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
2-1
Aberystwyth
Bakare (37'), Wilde (44')
Hughes (41')
Baynes (90')
Jones (40'), Walker (60'), Williams (90')
rhs 2.0
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