Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnet | Draw | Wealdstone |
52.06% ( 0.48) | 22.55% ( -0.01) | 25.38% ( -0.47) |
Both teams to score 60.34% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.36% ( -0.38) | 39.64% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.01% ( -0.39) | 61.99% ( 0.39) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.65% ( 0.03) | 15.35% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.89% ( 0.06) | 44.11% ( -0.06) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.28% ( -0.56) | 28.72% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.45% ( -0.7) | 64.55% ( 0.7) |
Score Analysis |
Barnet | Draw | Wealdstone |
2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.85% Total : 52.06% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.55% | 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.42% Total : 25.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 39 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 100 | 35 | 65 | 97 |
2 | Notts County | 40 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 101 | 36 | 65 | 94 |
3 | Woking | 39 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 71 |
4 | Chesterfield | 39 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 71 |
5 | Barnet | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 66 |
6 | Eastleigh | 40 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 64 |
7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 62 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 59 | 54 | 5 | 55 |
9 | Bromley | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 55 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 55 |
11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 55 |
12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 53 |
13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 59 | 69 | -10 | 52 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 47 |
15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 46 |
16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 43 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 39 | 12 | 7 | 20 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 43 |
18 | York City | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 |
19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 55 | 84 | -29 | 40 |
20 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 38 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 38 |
21 | Gateshead | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 37 |
22 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 39 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 46 | 75 | -29 | 33 |
23 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 31 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 39 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 41 | 83 | -42 | 24 |
> Full Version |