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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 47.43%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 26.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Harrogate Town |
47.43% ( -0.36) | 26.37% ( 0.22) | 26.19% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 48.81% ( -0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.82% ( -0.74) | 55.18% ( 0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.58% ( -0.61) | 76.42% ( 0.61) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.73% ( -0.49) | 23.27% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.8% ( -0.71) | 57.2% ( 0.71) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.61% ( -0.29) | 36.39% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.83% ( -0.29) | 73.17% ( 0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 12.34% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.75% Total : 47.43% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 26.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leyton Orient | 46 | 26 | 13 | 7 | 61 | 34 | 27 | 91 |
2 | Stevenage | 46 | 24 | 13 | 9 | 61 | 39 | 22 | 85 |
P | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 83 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 22 | 13 | 11 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 79 |
5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 20 | 16 | 10 | 66 | 43 | 23 | 76 |
6 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 20 | 16 | 10 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Salford City | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 72 | 54 | 18 | 75 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 72 | 55 | 17 | 75 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 62 |
10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 61 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 61 |
12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 58 |
13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 58 |
14 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 58 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 57 |
16 | Walsall | 46 | 12 | 19 | 15 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 55 |
17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 55 |
18 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 55 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 68 | -9 | 52 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 49 |
21 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 11 | 15 | 20 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 48 | 71 | -23 | 46 |
R | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 52 | 78 | -26 | 43 |
R | Rochdale | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 46 | 70 | -24 | 38 |
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