Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 49.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 25.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Raith Rovers |
49.34% ( -1.28) | 25.49% ( 0.25) | 25.17% ( 1.03) |
Both teams to score 50.52% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.49% ( -0.16) | 52.5% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.82% ( -0.14) | 74.17% ( 0.14) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.7% ( -0.61) | 21.3% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.76% ( -0.95) | 54.24% ( 0.95) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.19% ( 0.81) | 35.8% ( -0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.42% ( 0.83) | 72.58% ( -0.83) |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Raith Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 49.33% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.94% Total : 25.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee | 35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 60 |
2 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 60 | 47 | 13 | 58 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 56 |
4 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 59 | 42 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 55 |
6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 42 | 9 | 54 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 42 |
8 | Arbroath | 35 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 33 |
9 | Cove Rangers | 35 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 37 | 73 | -36 | 31 |
10 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 30 |
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