Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 55.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 20.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
