Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 20.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
