Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 1-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Raith Rovers |
30.55% | 29.29% | 40.16% |
Both teams to score 43.27% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.61% | 63.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.25% | 82.74% |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.63% | 37.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.85% | 74.15% |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.09% | 30.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.8% | 67.2% |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Raith Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.36% 2-1 @ 6.57% 2-0 @ 5.6% 3-1 @ 2.16% 3-0 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.75% Total : 30.54% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 11.54% 2-2 @ 3.86% Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.27% | 0-1 @ 13.56% 0-2 @ 7.96% 1-2 @ 7.84% 0-3 @ 3.12% 1-3 @ 3.07% 2-3 @ 1.51% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.19% Total : 40.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 22 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Dundee | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 31 |
3 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 30 |
4 | Greenock MortonMorton | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 29 |
5 | Partick ThistlePartick | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 24 |
6 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 22 |
8 | Cove Rangers | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 18 |
9 | Arbroath | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 13 |
10 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 35 | -19 | 11 |
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