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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | New England Revolution | 13 | -1 | 16 |
7 | Toronto | 14 | -6 | 15 |
8 | DC United | 13 | -7 | 14 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | New York City FC | 13 | 16 | 26 |
2 | Philadelphia Union | 14 | 9 | 25 |
3 | New York Red Bulls | 14 | 7 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 49.76%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Toronto win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toronto | Draw | New York City FC |
26.48% | 23.76% | 49.76% |
Both teams to score 57.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.77% | 44.23% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.39% | 66.61% |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.69% | 30.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.51% | 66.48% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.13% | 17.87% |