Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 54.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.