Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 57.39%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 21.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 1-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (5.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.