Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
