Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 53.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
