Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 68.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 13.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Dallas in this match.
Result | ||
Dallas | Draw | Austin FC |
68.13% | 18.17% | 13.69% |
Both teams to score 54.43% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.6% | 37.4% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.38% | 59.62% |
Dallas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.96% | 10.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.9% | 33.09% |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.5% | 39.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.81% | 76.18% |
Score Analysis |
Dallas | Draw | Austin FC |
2-0 @ 10.47% 2-1 @ 9.73% 1-0 @ 9.11% 3-0 @ 8.03% 3-1 @ 7.46% 4-0 @ 4.62% 4-1 @ 4.29% 3-2 @ 3.47% 5-0 @ 2.12% 4-2 @ 1.99% 5-1 @ 1.97% 5-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.95% Total : 68.12% | 1-1 @ 8.46% 2-2 @ 4.52% 0-0 @ 3.96% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.17% | 1-2 @ 3.93% 0-1 @ 3.68% 0-2 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.4% 1-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.76% Total : 13.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 72 | 26 | 46 | 67 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 63 | 50 | 13 | 65 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 55 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 53 |
5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 49 |
6 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 48 |
7 | Orlando City | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 48 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 46 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 42 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 42 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 40 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 39 |
13 | Toronto | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 34 |
14 | DC United | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 27 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 72 | 26 | 46 | 67 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 63 | 50 | 13 | 65 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 55 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 53 |
5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 49 |
6 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 48 |
7 | Orlando City | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 48 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 46 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 42 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 42 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 40 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 39 |
13 | Toronto | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 34 |
14 | DC United | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 27 |