Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 51.96%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 25.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
