Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Portland Timbers |
44.22% | 25.1% | 30.68% |
Both teams to score 55.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.43% | 47.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.23% | 69.77% |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.48% | 21.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.42% | 54.58% |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71% | 29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.1% | 64.9% |
Score Analysis |
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Portland Timbers |
1-0 @ 9.59% 2-1 @ 9.12% 2-0 @ 7.36% 3-1 @ 4.67% 3-0 @ 3.77% 3-2 @ 2.89% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.48% Total : 44.22% | 1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 6.24% 2-2 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.73% 1-2 @ 7.35% 0-2 @ 4.78% 1-3 @ 3.03% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 29 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 29 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 28 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Orlando City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 25 |
6 | New England RevolutionNew England | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 24 |
7 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 21 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Toronto | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 18 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
14 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 14 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 29 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 29 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 28 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Orlando City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 25 |
6 | New England RevolutionNew England | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 24 |
7 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 21 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Toronto | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 18 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
14 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 14 |