Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.
Result | ||
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
41.81% | 24.7% | 33.49% |
Both teams to score 58.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.21% | 44.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.86% | 67.14% |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.54% | 21.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.51% | 54.48% |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.15% | 25.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.18% | 60.82% |
Score Analysis |
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
2-1 @ 8.89% 1-0 @ 8.54% 2-0 @ 6.57% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-0 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.56% Total : 41.81% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 7.81% 0-1 @ 7.5% 0-2 @ 5.08% 1-3 @ 3.52% 2-3 @ 2.71% 0-3 @ 2.29% 1-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.47% Total : 33.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 68 | 22 | 46 | 63 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 55 | 47 | 8 | 53 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 50 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 46 |
5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 42 |
6 | Orlando City | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 42 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 9 | 14 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
8 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 36 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 36 |
11 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 35 |
12 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 35 |
13 | Toronto | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 34 |
14 | DC United | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 59 | -27 | 27 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 68 | 22 | 46 | 63 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 55 | 47 | 8 | 53 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 50 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 46 |
5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 42 |
6 | Orlando City | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 42 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 9 | 14 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
8 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 36 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 36 |
11 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 35 |
12 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 35 |
13 | Toronto | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 34 |
14 | DC United | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 59 | -27 | 27 |