Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and Independiente.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Union 1-0 Sarmiento
Friday, September 9 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, September 9 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
Last Game: Independiente 3-0 Aldosivi
Thursday, September 8 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Thursday, September 8 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Independiente |
32.54% ( -0.2) | 28.02% ( -0.1) | 39.44% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 47.33% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
